Is Solar Worth It in Vermont in 2026?
Vermont is an odd fit for solar on paper — 44.1°N, real winters, and fewer sunny days than most of the country (about 167 a year). But Vermont also has some of the most expensive electricity in the nation, and that single fact does more for solar math here than sunshine could. When the utility charges 22.9 cents for every kilowatt-hour, even a modest rooftop system displaces real money.
2026 changed the deal, though, and you deserve the straight version. The 30 percent federal tax credit that used to cut thousands off a Vermont install ended for systems completed after December 31, 2025 — gone, not reduced. Vermont's own incentives are thinner than in many states: no state tax credit, no cash rebate. What it has instead is net metering, a sales tax exemption, a property tax exemption, and — uniquely — a utility that pays you to let it use your battery. Solar can still work here, especially for a homeowner staying 15-plus years with a good south-facing roof. But payback now runs longer than sunnier states used to promise, so run the numbers before you sign anything.
Vermont Electricity Prices Keep Climbing
Solar is a bet against future electricity prices — every kilowatt-hour your roof makes is one you don't buy from the utility. So before the panels, look at where Vermont rates have gone. Here's the trend from federal EIA data.
Full Vermont electricity price data (1990–2025)
| Year | Vermont (¢/kWh) | US avg (¢/kWh) |
|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 9.3 | 7.8 |
| 1991 | 9.5 | 8.0 |
| 1992 | 9.6 | 8.2 |
| 1993 | 9.8 | 8.3 |
| 1994 | 10.0 | 8.4 |
| 1995 | 10.5 | 8.4 |
| 1996 | 11.0 | 8.4 |
| 1997 | 11.5 | 8.4 |
| 1998 | 11.6 | 8.3 |
| 1999 | 12.2 | 8.2 |
| 2000 | 12.3 | 8.2 |
| 2001 | 12.7 | 8.6 |
| 2002 | 12.8 | 8.4 |
| 2003 | 12.8 | 8.7 |
| 2004 | 12.9 | 9.0 |
| 2005 | 13.0 | 9.5 |
| 2006 | 13.4 | 10.4 |
| 2007 | 14.2 | 10.7 |
| 2008 | 14.5 | 11.3 |
| 2009 | 14.9 | 11.5 |
| 2010 | 15.6 | 11.5 |
| 2011 | 16.3 | 11.7 |
| 2012 | 17.0 | 11.9 |
| 2013 | 17.1 | 12.1 |
| 2014 | 17.5 | 12.5 |
| 2015 | 17.1 | 12.7 |
| 2016 | 17.4 | 12.6 |
| 2017 | 17.7 | 12.9 |
| 2018 | 18.0 | 12.9 |
| 2019 | 17.7 | 13.0 |
| 2020 | 19.5 | 13.2 |
| 2021 | 19.3 | 13.7 |
| 2022 | 19.9 | 15.0 |
| 2023 | 20.8 | 16.0 |
| 2024 | 21.9 | 16.5 |
| 2025 * | 22.9 | 17.3 |
Source: US EIA, average residential retail electricity price. Values in cents per kWh. * 2025 is preliminary.
Vermont residential electricity has climbed from roughly 12.9 cents per kWh in 2005 to about 22.9 cents in 2025 — a 77 percent increase, one of the steeper climbs in New England. The last decade moved at roughly 3 percent a year, a reasonable baseline for projecting your own bill, though Vermont's small grid and reliance on imported power keep it exposed to regional swings. Nobody can promise that pace continues, but a state raising rates every year for two decades isn't betting homeowners on cheaper power ahead.
The Vermont Sun, Month by Month
Panels respond to how high the sun climbs and how long it stays up, not air temperature — cold, clear Vermont days are actually efficient for solar cells. At 44.1°N, Vermont sits well north of most of the country, so winter sun angles are low and days short; summer more than makes up for it with long daylight hours.
Vermont monthly solar production data
| Month | kWh per installed kW |
|---|---|
| Jan | 73 |
| Feb | 83 |
| Mar | 110 |
| Apr | 116 |
| May | 122 |
| Jun | 115 |
| Jul | 125 |
| Aug | 124 |
| Sep | 107 |
| Oct | 81 |
| Nov | 72 |
| Dec | 52 |
| Year | 1179 |
Source: NREL PVWatts typical-year estimate (Burlington), per installed kW at latitude tilt.
The practical numbers: a well-sited Vermont system produces around 1,179 kWh per installed kilowatt per year (Burlington), well below the same system in the Southeast or Southwest. Production is heavily back-loaded to spring and summer, with December and January contributing little. If your heaviest use is winter heating rather than summer AC, factor that seasonal mismatch into your payback expectations — it's the biggest reason Vermont solar earns back its cost more slowly than Sun Belt solar, apart from incentives.
What Solar Costs in Vermont in 2026
Most residential installs in Vermont run about $2.65 to $3.20 per watt, with $2.78 to $3.08 most commonly quoted. Panels are a modest share of that number — labor, permitting, an inverter, snow-rated mounting hardware, and installer overhead make up the rest. With no federal credit left to shrink the bill, the number you negotiate is the number you pay.
| System Size | Typical 2026 Cost | Roughly Offsets | Fits |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 kW | $13,250 to $16,000 | ~5,900 kWh/yr (~$112/mo at 22.9¢) | Smaller home, efficient household |
| 8 kW | $21,200 to $25,600 | ~9,400 kWh/yr (~$180/mo) | Average Vermont home |
| 12 kW | $31,800 to $38,400 | ~14,100 kWh/yr (~$270/mo) | Large home, electric heat or heat pump load |
Vermont's sales tax exemption saves 6 percent up front versus a taxed state, and it extends to battery storage — worth factoring in if pairing panels with a battery for Green Mountain Power's rebate (below). Get at least three quotes and compare price per watt, not just the total, since equipment quality and warranty length vary widely.
Estimate Your Vermont Payback
The calculator below is set to Vermont's average electricity rate and typical Burlington-area sun production. Enter your own monthly bill to see an estimated system size, payback period, and 25-year savings. Vermont rates have grown at roughly 3 percent a year over the last decade — a reasonable starting point for the inflation field, though you can drag it to test other scenarios.
Vermont Solar Incentives That Still Exist in 2026
Here's what's gone and what survived.
- Gone — the 30 percent federal credit: The federal Residential Clean Energy Credit ended for installs completed after December 31, 2025, repealed by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, no phase-down. If a quote still assumes it, the rest of that quote probably hasn't been updated either.
- Still here — sales tax exemption: Solar panels, racking, inverters, cabling, monitoring equipment, and battery storage are exempt from Vermont's 6 percent sales and use tax, automatically — no application needed.
- Still here — property tax exemption: Under 32 V.S.A. §3802, a net-metered system under 50 kW is exempt from property tax. Assessed home value can rise, but the panels don't add to your tax bill. Some towns extend broader exemptions by local vote under §3845 — ask your town clerk.
- Unique to Vermont — GMP's battery rebate: Green Mountain Power's Bring Your Own Device program pays $850 to $950 per kW of storage (up to roughly $10,500) for letting GMP dispatch your battery during peak events — unrelated to net metering, and many solar-plus-battery buyers fold it into their payback math.
- Partially — leases and PPAs: Third-party-owned systems can still capture a separate federal business credit through 2027, but it belongs to the leasing company, not you. It may lower your payment; it may not. Compare against a cash purchase before assuming it's the better deal.
Efficiency Vermont occasionally lists solar-adjacent financing worth checking case by case; VEDA offers commercial-scale solar financing, not a homeowner incentive.
Net Metering in Vermont — and Why Timing Matters
Net metering is Vermont's main ongoing solar incentive, and it works differently here than in most states. Rather than a flat retail-rate credit, Vermont uses a hybrid design under Public Utility Commission Rule 5.100: each utility has a statewide blended retail reference rate (about 18.4 cents per kWh for 2026), and the PUC applies a size-based adjustor on top of it. Small residential systems — Category I, 15 kW or less — get a positive adjustor that pushes the effective credit above the blended rate, commonly 14 to 24 cents per kWh depending on utility and, critically, when you signed up. Larger and group systems (Categories II through IV) get a negative adjustor, crediting below the blended rate.
Here's what makes Vermont different: that adjustor has shrunk for seven straight biennial updates. A homeowner who interconnected five-plus years ago is very likely locked into a meaningfully better rate — often near 22 to 24 cents for Green Mountain Power customers — than someone signing up today, closer to 14 to 18 cents. The rate you lock in at interconnection generally holds for that system's life, so timing your installation is part of the financial decision here. Small systems also get a flat 1-cent adjuster for 10 years, plus another 3 cents if you assign your renewable energy credits to the utility. Unused credits roll forward 12 months, then are forfeited — no cash-out. As of 2026, the Department of Public Service has recommended the PUC pause the routine update and run a full rulemaking instead — the exact rate a 2026 applicant locks in is genuinely still being decided. Confirm the current tariff, in writing, before signing a contract.
How to Go Solar in Vermont
Work through these steps in order.
- Pull your last 12 power bills and find your true average monthly cost, including any electric heat or heat pump load that spikes in winter.
- Check that your roof faces south, east, or west, is unshaded, and can bear Vermont's snow loads.
- Confirm your roof has at least 10 to 15 years of life left before adding panels, or replace it first.
- Get at least three quotes, compare price per watt and warranty length, and make sure no quote still assumes the expired federal credit.
- Ask each installer, in writing, what net-metering rate you'd lock in today under Rule 5.100 — and confirm it's current given the 2026 rulemaking review.
- If you're considering a battery, ask whether Green Mountain Power's Bring Your Own Device rebate applies to your utility and system size.
- Weigh the payback period against how long you plan to stay. At 14 to 19 years, Vermont payback can outlast a typical ownership stretch — if you might move sooner, solar should still raise resale value, but that's a softer return than a lower bill.
For how panels work, sizing, and buying versus leasing in general, read our main solar panels guide — it covers the technology in depth, while this page covers what's specific to Vermont. For roof condition before or after adding panels, see our roofing guide; for wiring and inverter tie-in questions, see our electrical guide.
Sources
Figures on this page are 2026-current, drawn from primary sources. Rates: US EIA, Electric Sales, Revenue, and Average Price (2025 values preliminary). Federal credit repeal: Congressional Research Service IN12611. Net metering rule and 2026 review: Vermont PUC — Net Metering and the Department of Public Service's 2026 update recommendations. Tax exemptions: Vermont statutes 32 V.S.A. §3802 (property tax) and Department of Taxes Fact Sheet FS-1182 (sales tax). Production: NREL PVWatts. We review these figures every six months.